Did World War 3 Just Start?

We may soon look back on the Israeli attack on Iran of June 13th, 2025, as the opening shots of the Third World War. Indeed, at the moment, I can’t see any way this can now be avoided.

Iran didn’t respond to the last Israeli incursion. I don’t think the Iranian people will allow the government not to respond this time. The question is how they respond, and we need to keep in mind that Israel wants Iran to respond. Indeed, while I’m not sure whether the United States were ever negotiating with Iran in good faith, obviously no such negotiations can continue now, and I assume that this was one of Israel’s key aims – that there should be no alternative to escalating war.

How should Iran respond? Ideally, from an Iranian perspective, they could target Israel’s military infrastructure and hit it hard. The problem, of course, is that Israel has multiple nuclear weapons, and they may be happy for an excuse to use them, and I can’t imagine that the Iranians could disable Israel’s nuclear capacity, even with the most sophisticated military strike.

So … how does Iran respond? If Iran responds in a weak and symbolic way, Israel will most likely continue to attack and humiliate Iran, so this is not an option. If Iran can make a major hit on the Israeli military structure, they may be able to limit the ferocity of the Israeli response, though they would still have deal with the Americans. Alternatively, Iran may hit the civilian infrastructure of Israel in an attempt to demoralise the civilian population of Israel and destroy their will to fight.

From a strategic point of view, I hate to say it, but attacking the civilian infrastructure is probably the best option for Iran, and I hate to say it because I don’t think any war against civilians is ever justifiable. Even so, that red line was crossed by the Israelis some time ago.

Israel cannot win this war on their own. They are already fighting on more than one front, with more belligerents ready to enter the fray. Both Napolean and Hitler made the mistake of overextending their lines to the point where they collapsed, and Israel could easily do the same. Of course, they are depending on unwavering support from the US and its allies, but we should not forget that domestic opposition to any such war is huge in the US and in Europe.

Support for Palestine, globally, has never been greater at a grass-roots level, and with the skyrocketing oil prices that will result from Iran closing off the Straits of Hormuz. will the US and NATO be able to properly wage a massive foreign war when they have to deal with chaos at home?

The great weakness of both Mr Netanyahu and Mr Trump is that they are both horribly narcissistic and over-confident. The flip side of that is that they have probably both radically underestimated the strength of their opponents. They may still be gloating over recent victories, but Iran is not Lebanon. Iran is not Syria. Iran is the seventh largest country in the world, and despite the significant damage that the Zionist government has been able to do, I suspect that Iran has only just begun to show its strength.

It is possible then that both Mr Netanyahu and Mr Trump will be crushed under the weight of their own hubris, after which we may see their respective empires crumble with them.  I hope not. I pray that all this carnage might yet be avoided. Even so, apart from a miraculous intervention from the Almighty, there is not much I can see in the world at the moment that gives me hope.

Rev. David B. Smith14/6/25

About Father Dave

Preacher, Pugilist, Activist, Father of four
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